Corners may seem like one of the least dynamic markets available as really the games about scoring goals, But it is a highly strategic market with interesting options available both pre-match and in-play and different bookies offer different lines I use skybet for pre match betting because I can choose my own team corner count and find good value on singles or betting on multiples.
But I also use 888sport, bet365 and William Hill pre match. I’ll generally use a mixture of them because the odds maybe better pre match on a different bookie or the options to bet a certain market may not be available with certain bookies. So this is why I try to use all the bookies. The below is a guide to how I look into corner picks and some advice on corner betting.
🔶Corner betting pre match can be risky business, because it not only means predicting the tactics of both teams, but also the amount of pressure one (or both) will be under as well as the tempo of the game. It does, however, have its rewards when you find patterns in a team and really that’s what I bet on, patterns. If a team doesn’t get corners very often but then all of a sudden they start hitting 5/6 corners a game away from home 4/5 games in a row and they are getting a result from the game then the manager may stick with that style of play because prior to that they were not getting a result. So these are one of many factors I take into consideration. Porto are a great example, they went through a faze where they couldn’t score a first half goal or a goal before 70 minutes. During this time I took advantage because when teams can’t score you often get a lot of corners, especially with wide playing teams who cross the ball a lot. For a period i took them patterns into consideration and won a lot of money from them as they were holding the possession for 65% of a game minimum and were hitting 10-12 team corners before 70 minutes in a game. So race to 5,7,9 and over 12 corners was landing week in week out. However Porto have now found their feet and are in scoring form which slows down corner counts, as they are not pressing as hard especially away from home.
🔶Goals change games – this is a fact. One of the hardest thing to accept when betting on corners is if you need 7 corners from a certain team and they score 7 minutes into the game and don’t concede a goal until the second half the chances are you’ll be lucky if they get 3 corners before halftime and will start conceding them. These are patterns found in a lot of games. Porto do it a lot, they don’t get corners when they score. But then you have teams like Wellington Phoenix who winning or losing against good or bad opposition just don’t stop getting corners. These are teams I love to bet on, but the likes of Manchester United and Chelsea are the ones that will sit back most of the time after the goal and screw your corner bets up.
Chances are your getting a lower corner count at a higher price, but for a reason. They are riskier. They won’t have as much of the ball at which point 3/4 team corners is a good number to bet at if they are a team who’s patterns say they concede a first half goal away from home in 3 out of 5 games and they are playing an inform Arsenal who have scored at least 1 goal first half in 5 games before 30 minutes you know that there’s a good chance they’ll go behind and have to chase the game and corners can be a great bet on the underdog especially if Arsenal go 1-0 up at 15 minutes in as you’ve got 4 or more team corners at 1.90 odds on bet365.
🔶First half Asian corners
A favoured market of mine, if I see 1 corner Man City at home to Stoke and it’s 32 minutes in 0-0 there’s a very high chance I’ll post a bet and take over 2 first half Asian corners at evens because they average over 4 first half in most games home or away. The longer city don’t score generally the more corners they get. And Stoke are capable of getting one or more first half themselves. In this case if it ended on 1 corner we lose, if it ends on 2 corners we get a refund and if there’s 3 before halftime we win and double our stake.
🔶Teams win more corners when they lose against similar opponents in strength.
🔶favorites win an average of 5 corners when they win, and 8 when they are losing
🔶When favourites spend most of the time attacking but fail to score, they gain a large number of corners.
🔶The tempo of a game is easier to judge in play betting than pre match which is why I favour in play betting over pre match and have a higher % strike rate on my P&L on in play to pre match as pre match is guessing the tempo and pressure in the game; but a quick look at common playing tactics, attacking playing style, form of corner patterns and the pressure to win the match due to the league standings and recent results assist me in picking pre match markets.
🔶 Corner races are a great way of making money in play and pre match if your timing is right my advice on races are simple, find a side that is going to dominate the game but doesn’t concede a high number of early corners of going in early on the low races like race to 3 corners. During a game you may see me take a bet like this. someone like Gent may concede a corner from the kick off at which point I’d suggest in play taking the race to 3 corners at around 2.40 but this holds a huge risk as they are already 0-1 down and need to get 3 before conceding 2 more. generally they are favourites to win a match however they don’t have the best of first half goal stats even against very poor opposition they tend to not score very early but have a first half team corner average of around 3.6 and have won the race to 3 corners pretty much every game this season and we’re similar stats last season. Generally I take this bet every week as it delivers 16/17 at home this season alone it’s won.
🔶late betting is a favourite of mine as when a favourite who plays wide is losing late on a game I’ll often tip the races here or late asian corners as the favourite will risk everything to score in so little time. Corners will occur more frequently as all approximations to the other teams goal will result in quick but poor guided shots that are deflected. At this point the winning side is holding down tired and nervous which can also lead to them just tapping the ball out for a corner or the team winning who could be a favourite or an underdog may catch the other team on the counter attack but they won’t send 2 strikers and 3 midfielders up the field they’ll leave the player to waste time and he will run to the corner flag and more often than not 2/3 defenders will try taking the ball from him while he’s near the flag and a good attacker will kick it off the defenders and it will go out for a throw in or corner allowing them to waste time.
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